Tuesday, 22 November 2011

Global Monitor - no. 8, 22 Nov 2011

Welcome to the 8th edition of DiploSoc's Global Monitor! 
This service tracks foreign policy and other international developments of (sometimes long-term) relevance to global diplomacy.
The Monitor also offers a selection of analysis articles and updates on international affairs-related publications.

Please note that this service is still under development in terms of formatting, material selection and layout--i.e. it will improve significantly over the next few weeks. 
Of course, we would welcome any feedback and suggestions

Thank you for your interest and understanding!
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NEWS 

                                                EUROPE

 

Sniper 'kills Armenian soldier in Karabakh'

An Armenian soldier was shot dead by an Azerbaijani sniper on the frontline in the disputed region of Nagorny Karabakh on Saturday, the separatist Karabakh defence ministry said.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5gsLGxJ5aYFbd0GTBgRy3fs4-GGuQ?docId=CNG.63babc58d0989befd07c1bee33259a20.441

 

Spain election: Conservatives win landslide victory but new PM warns 'there will be no miracles'

Spain’s new leader vowed to battle “against the crisis” but warned there “would be no miracles” as his conservative party swept to victory in Sunday’s general election.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/spain/8903241/Spain-election-Conservatives-win-landslide-victory-but-new-PM-warns-there-will-be-no-miracles.html

 

Hungary asks for IMF and EU assistance

Hungary has asked the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Union (EU) for financial assistance.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15820340

 

                                                  AFRICA

Egypt Official Says 35 Dead in 3-day Clashes

An Egyptian morgue official says the death toll has climbed to 35 during the third straight day of violence that has turned into the most sustained challenge yet to the rule of Egypt's military.

We're keeping Gaddafi, says Libyan town

The senior official of the town whose brigades captured Saif al-Islam Gaddafi, have set the ground for a new conflict by refusing to hand him over to the central government.

Al Qaeda-linked group finds fertile territory in Nigeria as killings escalate

Two weeks ago, dozens of armed men descended on a town in northern Nigeria and killed more than 100 people in a coordinated series of bombings and gun attacks.

http://edition.cnn.com/2011/11/18/world/africa/nigeria-militants/?hpt=wo_c2

 

                                                AMERICAS

'Lone Wolf' Jihadist an Hour Away From Bomb: Officials

A New York man, inspired by late al Qaeda cleric Anwar al-Awlaki, was just an hour away from finishing construction on a bomb

http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/lone-wolf-jihadist-hour-bomb-officials/story?id=14996558#.TspcWPL4Kxg

 

                                                MIDDLE EAST

 Forum on Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone for Middle East Opens in Vienna

Representatives from IAEA Member States are meeting at the IAEA headquarters for a one-and-a-half day Forum to discuss how the experience gained through the established Nuclear-Weapons-Free Zones (NWFZ) could be relevant to the Middle East.

http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/news/2011/nwfz-forum-opens.html

Iranian boycott mars rare Middle East nuclear talks

The U.N. nuclear chief urged Middle East adversaries on Monday to engage in "fresh thinking" in rare talks on efforts to rid the world of atom bombs, attended by Israel and Arab states but boycotted by Iran.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/21/us-nuclear-mideast-iaea-idUSTRE7AK0R820111121

 

                                                     APAC

China vice premier sees chronic global recession

A long-term global recession is certain to happen and China must focus on domestic problems, Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan has said.

http://ca.news.yahoo.com/china-vice-premier-sees-chronic-global-recession-064121603.html

 

Burma's Suu Kyi to stand in polls

Aung San Suu Kyi will stand in an election for the first time, after her party voted to rejoin politics as the former military dictatorship undertakes democratic reforms.

Khmer Rouge Leaders Accused of Brutality ‘Defying Belief’

Opening statements in the most significant stage of a United Nations-backed trial of Khmer Rouge leaders began in Phnom Penh on Monday

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/22/world/asia/khmer-rouge-leaders-accused-of-brutality-defying-belief.html

 

PUBLICATIONS

“If the euro fails, Europe fails,” according to German chancellor Angela Merkel. And if Europe fails, we all fail.

CSIS publication by Heather A. Conley and Uttara Dukkipati
Fourteen summits in 21 months; the collapse of six eurozone governments; four bailout packages; and still we have an economic crisis on the verge of engulfing the world’s largest economies—this is the picture of political failure.

The new resource politics: can Australia and South Africa accommodate China?

Beeson, M., Soko, M. and Yong, W. (2011), The new resource politics: can Australia and South Africa accommodate China?, International Affairs, 87: 1365–1384.

The material transformation of the Chinese economy is forcing a concomitant process of political adjustment—and not just in China. Other states are being forced to accommodate the ‘rise of China’.

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-2346.2011.01041.x/abstract




NATO and Cyber Security: Building on the Strategic Concept
This is a rapporteur report of an event held on 20 May 2011 at Chatham House. The workshop brought together a group of senior officials from NATO, national governments, industry, and academia to examine the strategic dimensions of potential cyber threats to the land, sea, air, and space domains of NATO’s collective security umbrella.

Strategy and contingency

Strachan, H. (2011), Strategy and contingency, International Affairs 87: 1281–1296.

The determination that strategy should have a long-term predictive quality has left strategy seemingly wanting when having to address what are currently called ‘strategic shocks’, such as the recent Arab Spring and the NATO commitment to Libya. The focus on grand strategy, particularly in the US, is responsible for this trend.


The Greatest Poker Game in History
By Uri Dadush
Italy is now in an IMF-style rescue program, just like Greece, but has yet to realize it. The drama is all there of course: panic in the government bond market, stock markets collapsing, Brussels and Washington in alarm, leader resignation, and political crisis.

 

Protest planet: How a neoliberal shell game created an age of activism

Juan Cole in Le Monde Diplomatique

The massive popular protests that shook the globe this year have much in common, though most of the reporting on them in the mainstream media has obscured the similarities.

http://mondediplo.com/openpage/protest-planet

 

ANALYSIS

 Malawi Risks Becoming “Fragile State”

Impoverished Malawi is wrought with political unrest stemming from rising prices, fuel shortages, and unemployment. Government mismanagement and rampant corruption continue to diminish economic opportunities.

http://www.globalpolicy.org/component/content/article/172-general/51025-malawi-risks-becoming-fragile-state-.html

CIA Outsmarted by Hezbollah: Is This the Cost of Counterterrorism?

The Lebanese militant group Hezbollah has unraveled much of the CIA's mission in Lebanon, capturing up to a dozen U.S. spies in the country and effectively shutting down the agency's crucial operations there.

One of the Darkest Chapters of the 20th Century up for Trial

The Extraordinary Chambers in the Court of Cambodia (ECCC) is preparing for the trial of three senior leaders of the Khmer Rouge regime…

http://www.globalpolicy.org/component/content/article/163-general/51023--one-of-the-darkest-chapters-of-the-20th-century-up-for-trial.html

Egypt’s Headless Revolution

One leading activist summarizes the pattern: “If a leader emerges, other opposition figures are very willing to take him down, rather than join him up.”

Egyptian Protesters: Who Are They and What do they Want?

It has been a dramatic — and bloody — past three days in Egypt. The locus of the protests is as it always was in Tahrir square, though there are reports of large demonstrations in several Egyptian cities.   So far, reports indicate that at least 30 people have been killed.

The Wages of Economic Ignorance

Politicians are masters at “passing the buck.” Everything good that happens reflects their exceptional talents and efforts; everything bad is caused by someone or something else.

The WTO has Failed Developing Nations

Ten years after the adoption of the Doha Declaration, the “development” round of trade negotiations has merely offered empty promises. In this short op-ed, Aurelie Walker of the Fairtrade Foundation sums up ten ways in which the WTO membership has failed the world’s poor.

http://www.globalpolicy.org/component/content/article/220-trade/51022-the-wto-has-failed-developing-nations-.html

Isolating the Iranian Problem

Only a month removed from allegations of a stranger-than-fiction plot to assassinate Saudi Arabia’s Ambassador to the US, and less than two weeks after an International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report all but accused the Islamic Republic of nuclear bomb-building since 2003, Iran is reeling from a new round of not-so-soft sanctions.

 
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